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Red99
194315.0
599021.6
263032.7
Blue78
223025.1
466119.5
513525.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747550607080901009978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.5
32.733.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.3
End9.5
red by 7.4
25.30.0
25.425.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End7.0
Second
21.60.5
21.622.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End5.2
blue by 3.5
2230
#10
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.4
End5.9
Third
1943
#23
15.00.5
15.015.5
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End6.1
blue by 4.5
4661
#21
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.4
Teleop9.0
End4.0