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Red76
930410.0
565434.0
157428.5
Blue85
338820.3
433818.8
431922.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8160020401001201407685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.1
34.334.2
Auto9.4
Teleop16.1
End8.5
red by 11.2
4319
#13
22.80.2
21.822.1
Auto8.4
Teleop9.0
End5.4
Second
1574
#11
28.50.1
28.728.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End7.4
red by 8.2
3388
#17
20.30.2
19.319.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End6.7
Third
9304
#24
10.00.1
10.310.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.9
End4.2
blue by 8.8
4338
#15
18.80.2
17.818.1
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End8.0