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Red123
703934.7
598737.4
194229.9
Blue30
930315.8
571511.8
458616.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8253020406010012014016012330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.45.6
26.031.6
Auto10.8
Teleop19.7
End6.8
red by 21.1
4586
#14
16.33.1
21.318.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End7.9
Second
34.75.6
24.730.3
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.4
red by 19.0
9303
#13
15.83.1
12.89.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.4
End8.1
Third
1942
#10
29.95.6
22.227.8
Auto8.3
Teleop18.0
End3.6
red by 18.1
5715
#22
11.83.1
19.116.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsMissed