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Red71
474419.3
784535.4
267926.4
Blue52
307533.7
158016.2
432012.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64700501001507152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.41.1
24.425.5
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End8.5
red by 1.7
3075
#15
33.71.5
29.027.6
Auto9.4
Teleop17.3
End7.0
Second
26.41.1
20.922.0
Auto10.4
Teleop7.5
End8.5
red by 10.2
1580
#24
16.21.5
20.919.5
Auto7.8
Teleop4.6
End3.7
Third
4744
#19
19.31.1
15.816.9
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End6.7
red by 6.9
4320
#25
12.41.5
15.213.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsMissed