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Red40
194229.9
474419.3
432012.4
Blue100
595116.3
598737.4
784535.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6678204010012014040100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1942
#10
29.92.6
27.524.9
Auto8.3
Teleop18.0
End3.6
blue by 7.5
37.42.0
32.834.8
Auto10.8
Teleop19.7
End6.8
Second
4744
#19
19.32.6
21.018.4
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End6.7
blue by 16.1
35.42.0
25.727.7
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End8.5
Third
4320
#25
12.42.6
14.812.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End5.1
blue by 3.9
5951
#28
16.32.0
13.515.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsMissed