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Red108
221224.1
331633.6
703934.7
Blue65
307533.7
383510.9
474419.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81570204010012014010865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.73.1
29.632.7
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.4
red by 1.0
3075
#15
33.70.3
25.325.6
Auto9.4
Teleop17.3
End7.0
Second
33.63.1
28.631.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.9
End6.9
red by 14.3
4744
#19
19.30.3
18.819.1
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End6.7
Third
24.13.1
15.218.2
Auto8.9
Teleop9.2
End6.0
red by 13.1
3835
#26
10.90.3
12.913.3
Auto0.5
Teleop4.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed