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Red67
432012.4
784535.4
930315.8
Blue83
331633.6
610410.4
563525.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587202040801001201406783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.40.6
30.531.1
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End8.5
red by 1.8
33.60.7
31.732.4
Auto8.8
Teleop17.9
End6.9
Second
9303
#13
15.80.6
13.113.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.4
End8.1
blue by 10.0
5635
#18
25.80.7
24.024.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Third
4320
#25
12.40.6
12.312.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End5.1
red by 2.0
6104
#20
10.40.7
9.910.6
Auto4.8
Teleop0.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned