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Red79
267926.4
432012.4
223136.5
Blue92
703934.7
930315.8
563525.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77730501001502007992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.2
33.533.6
Auto9.5
Teleop17.1
End9.8
red by 1.8
34.72.1
30.232.3
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.4
Second
26.40.2
25.525.7
Auto10.4
Teleop7.5
End8.5
red by 0.6
5635
#18
25.82.1
24.726.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Third
4320
#25
12.40.2
12.913.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End5.1
blue by 3.4
9303
#13
15.82.1
13.615.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.4
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned