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Red109
711212.0
703934.7
333941.0
Blue86
331633.6
193715.8
561425.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8979406010012014010986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.5
39.239.7
Auto11.1
Teleop21.2
End8.6
red by 7.4
33.60.2
33.733.9
Auto8.8
Teleop17.9
End6.9
Second
34.70.5
32.933.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End5.4
red by 8.9
25.80.2
25.926.1
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End6.7
Third
7112
#23
12.00.5
10.210.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 3.8
1937
#29
15.80.2
15.816.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End4.6