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Red135
338837.3
194323.3
513539.1
Blue110
306531.7
459038.4
673832.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610950150200135110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#13
39.10.6
39.139.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.5
red by 0.6
4590
#14
38.40.0
38.138.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End8.0
Second
37.30.6
37.337.9
Auto9.6
Teleop18.6
End9.1
red by 5.0
6738
#11
32.30.0
32.031.9
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End7.0
Third
1943
#23
23.30.6
23.423.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End5.3
blue by 8.4
3065
#19
31.70.0
31.431.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End7.2