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Red102
595121.7
458629.0
817524.2
Blue40
623016.1
822312.9
555428.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54522030406070809010010240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#15
29.03.5
16.319.8
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.5
red by 0.6
28.41.0
13.913.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End4.5
Second
8175
#22
24.23.5
17.020.5
Auto9.6
Teleop8.0
End6.7
red by 8.2
6230
#28
16.11.6
15.714.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.4
End4.4
Third
5951
#20
21.73.5
16.319.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End6.5
red by 8.8
8223
#30
12.91.6
20.118.4
Auto1.3
Teleop8.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed