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Red131
333947.8
595121.7
331637.4
Blue122
784543.7
459038.4
563530.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106906080120140160180131122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.9
42.944.8
Auto12.2
Teleop27.2
End8.2
red by 4.2
7845
#17
43.72.4
36.138.5
Auto13.5
Teleop21.3
End9.0
Second
3316
#10
37.41.9
34.436.3
Auto10.3
Teleop19.7
End7.4
blue by 1.1
4590
#14
38.42.4
23.125.5
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End8.0
Third
5951
#20
21.71.9
19.821.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End6.5
blue by 9.0
5635
#16
30.72.4
27.229.5
Auto9.5
Teleop13.5
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned