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Red113
466119.5
321134.3
165740.3
Blue62
529114.7
333947.8
822312.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9089708010011012011362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.32.0
33.135.1
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End5.5
blue by 7.6
47.81.5
47.445.8
Auto12.2
Teleop27.2
End8.2
Second
3211
#12
34.32.0
27.529.6
Auto12.1
Teleop17.0
End5.3
red by 19.6
5291
#26
14.72.5
17.214.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Third
4661
#21
19.52.0
21.823.8
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End4.9
red by 6.5
8223
#30
12.92.5
20.217.7
Auto1.3
Teleop8.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsMissed