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Red100
308319.0
194323.3
513539.1
Blue103
307542.6
555428.4
595121.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6586050100150100103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#13
39.12.4
27.429.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.5
blue by 3.5
42.60.9
37.037.9
Auto9.4
Teleop25.2
End8.0
Second
1943
#23
23.32.4
18.420.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End5.3
blue by 5.1
28.40.9
18.719.6
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End4.5
Third
3083
#27
19.02.4
17.920.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End4.0
blue by 2.8
5951
#20
21.70.9
22.323.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed