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Red110
165740.3
157763.3
458629.0
Blue117
513539.1
784543.7
306531.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1409450150200110117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.32.2
62.760.6
Auto13.6
Teleop40.6
End8.5
red by 19.7
7845
#17
43.71.6
38.039.6
Auto13.5
Teleop21.3
End9.0
Second
40.32.2
37.635.4
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End5.5
red by 1.2
5135
#13
39.11.6
29.130.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.5
Third
4586
#15
29.02.2
25.323.2
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.5
blue by 2.7
3065
#19
31.71.6
26.528.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned