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Red127
458629.0
169055.5
717717.6
Blue147
595121.7
306531.7
165740.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10792050150200127147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.1
56.756.8
Auto14.7
Teleop32.0
End8.7
red by 15.2
40.30.8
35.436.2
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End5.5
Second
4586
#15
29.00.1
23.223.3
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.5
blue by 2.7
3065
#19
31.70.8
28.028.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End7.2
Third
7177
#29
17.60.1
18.818.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End5.1
blue by 4.1
5951
#20
21.70.8
24.425.2
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsEarned