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Red57
623016.1
595121.7
529114.7
Blue122
306531.7
307542.6
717717.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5199015057122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5951
#20
21.70.1
25.225.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End6.5
blue by 20.9
42.61.7
38.940.5
Auto9.4
Teleop25.2
End8.0
Second
6230
#28
16.10.2
17.517.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.4
End4.4
blue by 15.6
3065
#19
31.71.7
28.930.5
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End7.2
Third
5291
#26
14.70.2
11.411.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 2.8
7177
#29
17.62.4
18.921.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed51%Activation oddsEarned