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Red84
565443.3
308319.0
822312.9
Blue90
459038.4
431926.0
331637.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821040501502008490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.3
44.444.7
Auto9.5
Teleop26.6
End7.3
red by 4.9
4590
#14
38.40.3
34.434.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End8.0
Second
3083
#27
19.00.3
21.321.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End4.0
blue by 18.4
3316
#10
37.40.3
34.434.1
Auto10.3
Teleop19.7
End7.4
Third
8223
#30
12.90.4
14.314.6
Auto1.3
Teleop8.4
End3.2
blue by 13.0
4319
#18
26.00.3
25.725.4
Auto10.0
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned