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Red88
306531.7
338837.3
623016.1
Blue124
674117.6
157763.3
321134.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801215010015020088124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.5
32.733.2
Auto9.6
Teleop18.6
End9.1
blue by 26.1
63.30.7
60.561.3
Auto13.6
Teleop40.6
End8.5
Second
3065
#19
31.70.5
30.531.0
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End7.2
blue by 2.6
3211
#12
34.30.7
30.931.7
Auto12.1
Teleop17.0
End5.3
Third
6230
#28
16.10.7
17.318.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.4
End4.4
blue by 1.5
6741
#24
17.60.7
16.617.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned