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Red67
674117.6
784543.7
595121.7
Blue107
563530.7
458629.0
194323.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9280020406010012014016067107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#17
43.71.2
43.942.7
Auto13.5
Teleop21.3
End9.0
red by 13.0
5635
#16
30.71.4
28.730.0
Auto9.5
Teleop13.5
End7.8
Second
5951
#20
21.71.2
22.020.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End6.5
blue by 7.2
4586
#15
29.01.4
26.628.0
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End7.5
Third
6741
#24
17.61.2
18.817.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End5.1
blue by 5.7
1943
#23
23.31.4
21.322.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned