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Red96
598748.0
165740.3
308319.0
Blue157
565443.3
555428.4
157763.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871185010015020096157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.7
38.539.2
Auto9.3
Teleop32.8
End5.8
blue by 15.3
63.33.4
57.961.3
Auto13.6
Teleop40.6
End8.5
Second
40.30.7
30.230.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End5.5
blue by 3.1
43.33.4
35.538.9
Auto9.5
Teleop26.6
End7.3
Third
3083
#27
19.00.7
16.517.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End4.0
blue by 9.4
28.43.4
13.016.3
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned