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Red130
338837.3
194323.3
513539.1
Blue130
306531.7
459038.4
673832.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510350150200130130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5135
#13
39.10.7
38.839.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End8.5
red by 0.6
4590
#14
38.40.7
36.737.5
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End8.0
Second
37.30.7
36.937.6
Auto9.6
Teleop18.6
End9.1
red by 5.0
6738
#11
32.30.7
30.531.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End7.0
Third
1943
#23
23.30.7
23.023.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End5.3
blue by 8.4
3065
#19
31.70.7
30.030.7
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End7.2