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Red101
623019.1
157627.5
263045.6
Blue100
209640.0
433823.2
711224.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8568050100150200101100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.3
39.440.6
Auto12.8
Teleop23.9
End9.0
red by 5.6
2096
#10
40.00.9
29.730.6
Auto11.1
Teleop21.7
End7.1
Second
1576
#12
27.51.3
20.421.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End5.6
red by 3.1
7112
#20
24.30.9
17.118.0
Auto9.1
Teleop7.8
End7.4
Third
6230
#27
19.11.3
17.518.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.4
blue by 4.1
4338
#32
23.20.9
19.120.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned