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Red41
383523.4
432021.5
193728.0
Blue133
610420.9
616841.3
157443.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4794015020041133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
#17
28.00.6
19.518.9
Auto10.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4
blue by 15.3
43.33.1
34.537.6
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End7.6
Second
3835
#25
23.40.6
15.114.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End4.9
blue by 17.9
6168
#11
41.33.1
32.235.3
Auto11.0
Teleop22.9
End7.4
Third
4320
#30
21.50.6
15.715.0
Auto8.6
Teleop8.9
End4.1
red by 0.6
6104
#13
20.93.1
15.218.2
Auto8.2
Teleop7.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsEarned