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Red104
706735.5
157443.3
433823.2
Blue45
592825.1
610420.9
717722.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966405015020010445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.9
37.638.5
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End7.6
red by 18.2
5928
#22
25.11.3
24.022.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.2
End6.1
Second
35.50.9
28.028.9
Auto10.1
Teleop17.2
End8.1
red by 12.9
7177
#28
22.61.3
21.620.3
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End5.6
Third
4338
#32
23.20.9
20.221.0
Auto5.2
Teleop10.0
End8.0
red by 2.3
6104
#13
20.91.3
18.217.0
Auto8.2
Teleop7.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed