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Red90
717722.6
263045.6
432021.5
Blue112
223141.1
822320.8
529129.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878660708010011012013090112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.3
43.043.3
Auto12.8
Teleop23.9
End9.0
red by 4.5
41.11.4
41.843.2
Auto12.0
Teleop20.3
End8.8
Second
7177
#28
22.60.3
20.320.6
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End5.6
blue by 7.0
5291
#16
29.61.4
23.424.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End5.1
Third
4320
#30
21.50.3
17.017.3
Auto8.6
Teleop8.9
End4.1
red by 0.7
8223
#21
20.81.4
16.417.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned