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Red103
930320.5
209640.0
592825.1
Blue122
221231.5
706735.5
703945.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74107050150200103122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
#10
40.02.0
33.135.1
Auto11.1
Teleop21.7
End7.1
blue by 5.8
45.81.4
37.639.0
Auto10.1
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
5928
#22
25.12.0
21.423.4
Auto8.8
Teleop10.2
End6.1
blue by 10.3
35.51.4
28.229.6
Auto10.1
Teleop17.2
End8.1
Third
9303
#24
20.52.0
18.920.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End8.4
blue by 11.0
2212
#18
31.51.4
30.231.6
Auto11.0
Teleop15.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned