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Red40
195420.7
433823.2
267926.7
Blue79
571535.9
822320.8
193728.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75764050607080901001104079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2679
#23
26.72.9
28.225.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End7.1
blue by 9.2
35.90.3
29.328.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.9
End7.4
Second
4338
#32
23.22.9
21.618.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.0
End8.0
blue by 4.8
1937
#17
28.00.3
21.721.4
Auto10.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4
Third
1954
#29
20.72.9
23.220.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End8.2
blue by 0.2
8223
#21
20.80.3
17.817.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsMissed