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Red119
529129.6
193728.0
711224.3
Blue86
221231.5
474429.2
383523.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728805010015020011986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5291
#16
29.61.6
25.527.2
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End5.1
blue by 1.9
2212
#18
31.50.0
32.232.2
Auto11.0
Teleop15.3
End5.2
Second
1937
#17
28.01.6
22.824.5
Auto10.1
Teleop11.5
End6.4
blue by 1.3
4744
#19
29.20.0
28.928.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.9
End6.3
Third
7112
#20
24.31.6
21.022.7
Auto9.1
Teleop7.8
End7.4
red by 1.0
3835
#25
23.40.0
19.419.4
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsMissed