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Red98
616841.3
267926.7
209640.0
Blue122
223141.1
592825.1
195420.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079605015020098122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6168
#11
41.30.4
36.536.0
Auto11.0
Teleop22.9
End7.4
red by 0.1
41.10.4
45.144.7
Auto12.0
Teleop20.3
End8.8
Second
2096
#10
40.00.4
37.236.8
Auto11.1
Teleop21.7
End7.1
red by 14.8
5928
#22
25.10.4
25.124.7
Auto8.8
Teleop10.2
End6.1
Third
2679
#23
26.70.4
25.525.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End7.1
red by 6.1
1954
#29
20.70.4
20.920.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsMissed