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Red78
822320.8
383523.4
433823.2
Blue136
616841.3
571535.9
706735.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54113010015020078136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3835
#25
23.41.3
19.420.7
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End4.9
blue by 17.9
6168
#11
41.32.5
36.038.5
Auto11.0
Teleop22.9
End7.4
Second
4338
#32
23.21.3
19.420.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.0
End8.0
blue by 12.7
35.92.5
30.933.4
Auto9.7
Teleop18.9
End7.4
Third
8223
#21
20.81.3
19.320.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End5.2
blue by 14.6
35.52.5
31.634.1
Auto10.1
Teleop17.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
22%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned