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Red111
157443.3
221231.5
529129.6
Blue123
223046.3
561439.5
267926.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759150100150111123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.9
32.234.1
Auto8.3
Teleop27.4
End7.6
blue by 3.0
46.32.6
29.832.5
Auto12.5
Teleop24.3
End9.4
Second
2212
#18
31.51.9
24.126.0
Auto11.0
Teleop15.3
End5.2
blue by 8.0
39.52.6
27.129.7
Auto12.7
Teleop19.8
End7.1
Third
5291
#16
29.61.9
16.017.9
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End5.1
red by 2.9
2679
#23
26.72.6
26.429.1
Auto8.1
Teleop11.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned