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Red132
571535.9
529129.6
223046.3
Blue96
703945.8
433823.2
432021.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115845010015020013296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.2
42.343.5
Auto12.5
Teleop24.3
End9.4
red by 0.5
45.80.9
44.445.3
Auto10.1
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
35.91.2
33.434.6
Auto9.7
Teleop18.9
End7.4
red by 12.7
4338
#32
23.20.9
20.821.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.0
End8.0
Third
5291
#16
29.61.2
28.429.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End5.1
red by 8.0
4320
#30
21.50.9
17.818.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned