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Red133
571540.3
703944.5
595137.6
Blue130
173169.1
383523.1
223150.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96136050150200250133130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#17
44.51.9
42.344.2
Auto7.0
Teleop37.1
End0.6
blue by 24.6
69.10.3
61.461.1
Auto11.1
Teleop55.4
End0.5
Second
5715
#11
40.31.9
38.940.8
Auto8.3
Teleop30.3
End1.6
blue by 10.0
2231
#19
50.30.3
54.354.0
Auto6.7
Teleop41.7
End1.5
Third
37.61.9
23.325.2
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End0.4
red by 14.5
3835
#29
23.10.3
20.520.2
Auto4.9
Teleop19.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned