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Red138
157770.2
598757.1
194239.9
Blue39
67419.2
306535.2
592818.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17758010015020025013839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.22.1
71.369.2
Auto8.6
Teleop57.2
End1.3
red by 35.0
3065
#14
35.22.4
34.331.9
Auto3.8
Teleop31.5
End0.2
Second
5987
#15
57.12.1
61.759.7
Auto10.9
Teleop43.1
End0.9
red by 38.2
5928
#34
18.92.4
24.722.3
Auto3.4
Teleop16.8
End-1.0
Third
1942
#13
39.92.1
36.834.7
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End0.3
red by 30.7
6741
#33
9.22.4
16.514.0
Auto0.4
Teleop9.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed19%Activation oddsMissed