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Red139
561440.2
223037.4
169072.0
Blue96
592818.9
321138.3
333958.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14110805020025013996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.1
64.664.5
Auto14.5
Teleop55.2
End-0.4
red by 13.3
58.71.4
54.252.8
Auto10.6
Teleop45.3
End1.3
Second
5614
#22
40.20.1
39.939.8
Auto11.0
Teleop27.7
End1.2
red by 1.8
3211
#12
38.31.4
40.338.9
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
2230
#30
37.40.1
39.839.7
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End0.6
red by 18.5
5928
#34
18.91.4
22.320.9
Auto3.4
Teleop16.8
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned