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Red133
599038.3
561440.2
571540.3
Blue66
308321.5
711223.5
306535.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12354010015020013366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#11
40.30.3
41.541.8
Auto8.3
Teleop30.3
End1.6
red by 5.1
3065
#14
35.20.6
34.133.5
Auto3.8
Teleop31.5
End0.2
Second
5614
#22
40.20.3
39.039.3
Auto11.0
Teleop27.7
End1.2
red by 16.7
7112
#18
23.50.6
24.123.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.9
End1.4
Third
5990
#27
38.30.3
43.343.6
Auto7.8
Teleop31.3
End-1.0
red by 16.8
3083
#25
21.50.6
16.816.2
Auto1.1
Teleop21.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed