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Red119
306535.2
561440.2
267925.9
Blue135
784541.4
458631.6
599038.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85112050100150200250119135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#22
40.20.6
39.340.0
Auto11.0
Teleop27.7
End1.2
blue by 1.2
7845
#21
41.41.2
41.442.6
Auto8.1
Teleop31.8
End1.6
Second
3065
#14
35.20.6
33.534.1
Auto3.8
Teleop31.5
End0.2
blue by 3.2
5990
#27
38.31.2
43.644.8
Auto7.8
Teleop31.3
End-1.0
Third
2679
#28
25.90.6
26.827.4
Auto6.6
Teleop19.0
End0.5
blue by 5.7
4586
#10
31.61.2
31.733.0
Auto6.1
Teleop24.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned