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Red61
267925.9
592818.9
223150.3
Blue120
999927.0
673835.3
307549.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8873020406010012014016061120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#19
50.32.7
53.851.1
Auto6.7
Teleop41.7
End1.5
red by 0.9
3075
#20
49.41.3
45.947.3
Auto9.5
Teleop38.6
End1.2
Second
2679
#28
25.92.7
27.424.7
Auto6.6
Teleop19.0
End0.5
blue by 9.3
6738
#23
35.31.3
28.830.2
Auto5.2
Teleop29.1
End1.2
Third
5928
#34
18.92.7
20.217.5
Auto3.4
Teleop16.8
End-1.0
blue by 8.1
9999
#16
27.02.1
25.427.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End-2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned