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Red93
307549.4
267925.9
383523.1
Blue131
561440.2
157454.4
194321.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110305015020093131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#20
49.40.4
47.346.8
Auto9.5
Teleop38.6
End1.2
blue by 5.0
54.40.8
53.154.0
Auto11.9
Teleop41.7
End0.6
Second
2679
#28
25.90.4
24.724.3
Auto6.6
Teleop19.0
End0.5
blue by 14.2
5614
#22
40.20.8
42.142.9
Auto11.0
Teleop27.7
End1.2
Third
3835
#29
23.10.4
22.221.8
Auto4.9
Teleop19.1
End-0.7
red by 2.0
1943
#32
21.10.8
18.519.3
Auto6.1
Teleop15.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned