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Red152
306535.2
598757.1
331641.9
Blue187
157770.2
173169.1
209650.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98163050150200152187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#15
57.11.7
55.056.6
Auto10.9
Teleop43.1
End0.9
blue by 13.1
70.20.7
67.968.7
Auto8.6
Teleop57.2
End1.3
Second
41.91.7
38.840.5
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End1.4
blue by 27.2
69.10.7
67.868.6
Auto11.1
Teleop55.4
End0.5
Third
3065
#14
35.21.7
33.735.4
Auto3.8
Teleop31.5
End0.2
blue by 15.3
50.50.7
49.350.0
Auto7.7
Teleop42.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned