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Red163
263054.1
173169.1
458631.6
Blue198
223150.3
169072.0
157770.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14218450100200250163198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.10.2
61.261.4
Auto11.1
Teleop55.4
End0.5
blue by 2.9
72.01.1
64.966.0
Auto14.5
Teleop55.2
End-0.4
Second
54.10.2
53.153.3
Auto10.2
Teleop42.0
End0.8
blue by 16.1
70.21.1
70.271.3
Auto8.6
Teleop57.2
End1.3
Third
4586
#10
31.60.2
33.733.9
Auto6.1
Teleop24.9
End0.9
blue by 18.7
2231
#19
50.31.1
53.254.3
Auto6.7
Teleop41.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned