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Red109
223037.4
571540.3
306535.2
Blue151
307549.4
157454.4
194239.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87118050100150200109151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#11
40.30.2
40.540.3
Auto8.3
Teleop30.3
End1.6
blue by 14.1
54.40.3
51.151.3
Auto11.9
Teleop41.7
End0.6
Second
2230
#30
37.40.2
37.637.4
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End0.6
blue by 12.0
3075
#20
49.40.3
46.046.3
Auto9.5
Teleop38.6
End1.2
Third
3065
#14
35.20.2
35.435.2
Auto3.8
Teleop31.5
End0.2
blue by 4.7
1942
#13
39.90.3
36.536.8
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End0.3