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Red127
35960.6
208031.4
173255.5
Blue150
492050.3
429337.6
28152.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16113950100200250127150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#15
60.61.4
62.561.1
Auto15.5
Teleop34.5
End9.2
red by 8.4
281
#22
52.21.1
50.751.8
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End6.4
Second
1732
#25
55.51.4
55.454.0
Auto13.7
Teleop34.3
End6.7
red by 5.2
4920
#18
50.31.1
49.150.2
Auto14.9
Teleop27.1
End6.9
Third
2080
#67
31.41.4
32.431.0
Auto3.8
Teleop18.6
End8.9
blue by 6.2
4293
#53
37.61.1
35.036.1
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsEarned