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Red101
235927.5
543441.2
565449.7
Blue142
333953.8
427634.7
434253.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124150050100200250101142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#40
49.71.6
49.548.0
Auto9.4
Teleop33.2
End6.8
blue by 4.1
53.80.0
51.851.8
Auto13.5
Teleop30.1
End8.1
Second
5434
#50
41.21.6
41.039.4
Auto13.3
Teleop22.3
End5.3
blue by 12.4
4342
#13
53.70.0
53.753.7
Auto11.8
Teleop33.0
End7.8
Third
2359
#74
27.51.6
29.127.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
blue by 7.3
4276
#61
34.70.0
33.633.5
Auto12.3
Teleop15.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned