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Qual 1102023 Johnson Division
Red130
28152.2
683331.5
463553.9
Blue151
903723.5
449967.0
497652.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145150100120160180200130151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#42
53.90.4
52.8→52.4
Auto13.6
Teleop31.9
End7.7
blue by 13.1
4499
#7
67.00.7
67.5→68.2
Auto17.3
Teleop40.5
End6.7
Second
281
#22
52.20.4
51.8→51.4
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End6.4
blue by 0.1
4976
#20
52.30.7
52.4→53.1
Auto12.2
Teleop31.0
End8.1
Third
6833
#51
31.50.4
32.0→31.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.3
End7.4
red by 8.0
9037
#72
23.50.7
22.3→23.0
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsMissed