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Red168
206753.6
715765.1
317561.9
Blue136
401142.0
931258.1
208031.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19112150100150250168136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#41
65.10.2
63.663.5
Auto12.4
Teleop42.9
End8.4
red by 7.0
9312
#17
58.10.6
53.554.1
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End8.8
Second
61.90.2
60.660.4
Auto17.1
Teleop33.5
End9.8
red by 19.9
4011
#11
42.00.6
37.838.4
Auto12.1
Teleop21.4
End8.0
Third
2067
#14
53.60.2
52.552.4
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End9.4
red by 22.2
2080
#67
31.40.6
31.031.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.6
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned69%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned