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Red167
205939.4
691954.0
8861.1
Blue139
16650.8
235927.5
917643.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163125050100150200250167139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#12
61.11.3
57.859.1
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End10.6
red by 10.4
166
#35
50.80.0
50.850.8
Auto7.6
Teleop33.2
End9.6
Second
6919
#34
54.01.3
52.754.0
Auto12.9
Teleop33.5
End7.5
red by 10.2
9176
#59
43.70.0
43.743.7
Auto11.3
Teleop24.2
End7.5
Third
2059
#70
39.41.3
38.139.4
Auto9.0
Teleop22.5
End7.9
red by 11.9
2359
#74
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned