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Qual 122023 Johnson Division
Red158
317561.9
168457.2
97156.4
Blue136
637759.6
497652.3
154050.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198152100250158136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#3
61.91.8
60.1→58.3
Auto17.1
Teleop33.5
End9.8
red by 2.3
6377
#10
59.60.8
54.7→53.9
Auto11.8
Teleop37.2
End9.6
Second
1684
#24
57.21.8
54.8→53.0
Auto12.0
Teleop35.4
End9.5
red by 4.9
4976
#20
52.30.8
49.6→48.8
Auto12.2
Teleop31.0
End8.1
Third
971
#57
56.41.8
67.8→66.0
Auto15.8
Teleop32.7
End7.9
red by 5.6
1540
#48
50.80.8
48.6→47.8
Auto13.2
Teleop29.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsMissed