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Red121
154050.8
2816.4
746046.4
Blue162
1655.7
178545.6
48448.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11215450100200250121162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#48
50.80.7
49.450.1
Auto13.2
Teleop29.0
End7.5
blue by 4.9
16
#21
55.71.5
52.153.6
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End7.1
Second
7460
#28
46.40.7
45.746.4
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.7
blue by 2.1
484
#23
48.41.5
46.948.4
Auto12.2
Teleop28.6
End6.7
Third
28
#71
16.40.7
15.716.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End8.7
blue by 29.2
1785
#44
45.61.5
44.145.6
Auto11.5
Teleop24.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned